AFL
PProjectPunt
ADE
Josh Worrell
Adelaide · vs COL
22.5 DIO U
Hit rate
41% (7/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.6
L5
19.4
L10
21.4
High
30
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
27COLMar 1425WBDMar 2030GEEMar 2623FREApr 0321CARApr 0928STKApr 1817BRIApr 2622PORMay 0121RICMay 1024NORMay 1628HAWMay 2122GEEJun 0420WBDJun 1121PORJun 2720WCEJul 0321GCSJul 1115SYDJul 17?COLJul 2322.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.6
COL389.3
Kicks
Josh14.6
COL227.3
Marks
Josh5.8
COL105.6
Tackles
Josh1.7
COL48.4
Clearances
Josh0.5
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Josh1.5
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Josh6.2
COL128.0
Goals
Josh0.0
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Disposals

389.3per game · league avg 369.3
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Adelaide Oval21.6(31)+1.9
Everywhere else19.7(24)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)22.4(5)+1.8
Dry games20.6(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.