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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
CBRRound 23Sun 08-09 · 14:00NEW
HYHudson YoungFP54.5JFJamal FogartyFP54.5NMNoah MartinFP52.5CHCorey HorsburghFP51.5SSSimi SasagiFP50.5JTJoseph TapineFP50.5ZHZac HoskingFP47.5ESEthan SandersFP47.5ESEthan StrangeFP43.5KWKaeo WeekesFP41.5MTMatthew TimokoFP40.5AMAta MariotaFP36.5
DLDylan LucasFP59.5KPKalyn PongaFP59.5KPKai Pearce-PaulFP54.5TMTrey MooneyFP47.5PCPhoenix CrosslandFP43.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

HYHudson Young54.5JFJamal Fogarty54.5NMNoah Martin52.5CHCorey Horsburgh51.5SSSimi Sasagi50.5JTJoseph Tapine50.5ZHZac Hosking47.5ESEthan Sanders
FS
Fletcher Sharpe
FP
42.5
GMGreg MarzhewFP42.5
BBBradman BestFP42.5
DYDominic YoungFP39.5
JMJermaine McEwenFP39.5
MCMat CrokerFP38.5
DGDane GagaiFP38.5
47.5
ESEthan Strange43.5
KWKaeo Weekes41.5
MTMatthew Timoko40.5
AMAta Mariota36.5
DLDylan Lucas59.5
KPKalyn Ponga59.5
KPKai Pearce-Paul54.5
TMTrey Mooney47.5
PCPhoenix Crossland43.5
FSFletcher Sharpe42.5
GMGreg Marzhew42.5
BBBradman Best42.5
DYDominic Young39.5
JMJermaine McEwen39.5
MCMat Croker38.5
DGDane Gagai38.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, yesterday
ES
Ethan Strange
Canberra Raiders · vs NEW
43.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
43.9
L5
45.0
L10
41.6
High
68
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o43.5
23MANMar 07☂52WARMar 1342CBYMar 19☂34CROMar 2962NEWApr 0550SOUApr 1168MELApr 1711WSTApr 2366PENMay 1056NQLMay 3129SYDJun 0529MELJun 2147SGIJun 2819CBYJul 1154SOUJul 1842WSTJul 2563PENAug 01?NEWAug 0943.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGIO Stadium · CanberraRound 23 · 2026-08-09 14:00☁ 6.7°C☂ 3.3mm (75%)🌬 23 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Ethanvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
78.9
47
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Ethan 78.9/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1691.0
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.1
93
Tackle Breaksfavorable
63
33.6
Ethan 4.1/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.1
61
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Ethan 20.1/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 345.0
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
78
Triesneutral
44
4.0
Ethan 0.4/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
88
Try Assistsneutral
56
3.5
Ethan 0.5/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
80
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Ethan 0.5/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
79
Offloadsneutral
56
10.2
Ethan 0.8/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.6
28
Post Contact Metresneutral
63
559.8
Ethan 14.6/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 545.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Ethan78.9
47
NEW1722.7
56
Ethan 78.9/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1691.0
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Ethan4.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NEW concede · Fantasy Points

627.0per game · league avg 645.8
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At GIO Stadium43.6(31)+9.6
Everywhere else34.0(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)38.1(11)-0.7
Dry games38.8(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs NEW · Fantasy Points

Avg diff
-10.1
Avg diff %
-22%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIReece Walsh49.544-11%
08-01BRIXavier Willison47.43-94%
08-01BRIKotoni Staggs41.138-8%
07-24SYDDaly Cherry-Evans46.456+21%
07-24SYDReece Robson47.556+18%
07-24SYDMark Nawaqanitawase43.713-70%
07-24SYDBilly Smith45.743-6%
07-24SYDSam Walker50.538-25%
Similar = season average within ±6.6 of Ethan's. Computed from this app's own records.
93
NEW33.6
63
Ethan 4.1/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Ethan20.1
61
NEW333.3
19
Ethan 20.1/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 345.0
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Ethan0.4
78
NEW4.0
44
Ethan 0.4/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsneutral
Ethan0.5
88
NEW3.5
56
Ethan 0.5/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Ethan0.5
80
NEW4.5
31
Ethan 0.5/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Ethan0.8
79
NEW10.2
56
Ethan 0.8/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Ethan14.6
28
NEW559.8
63
Ethan 14.6/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 545.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded