Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Daniel Turner

Melbourne · @ GCS

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

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Avg

0.4

0.8

L10

0.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Danielvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

14.3Disposals359.7

9.9Kicks206.6

6.3Marks83.4

1.6Tackles64.7

0.1Clearances38.2

1.6Inside 50s52.9

4.8Contested Poss.128.1

0.1Goals13.2

Disposals

Daniel14.3

GCS359.7

Kicks

Daniel9.9

GCS206.6

Marks

Daniel6.3

GCS83.4

Tackles

Daniel1.6

GCS64.7

Clearances

Daniel0.1

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Daniel1.6

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Daniel4.8

GCS128.1

Goals

Daniel0.1

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Frees For

21.4per game · league avg 19.0

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Carrara0.3(3)-0.1

Everywhere else0.4(50)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)-0.1

Dry games0.4(50)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.