PProject Punt
AFLNRLNBLHorsesDogs
⌕/
Sign inSign up
© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
MELRound 22Sat 08-08 · 13:15FRE
Jake BoweyJake BoweyDI25.5Jack SteeleJack SteeleDI24.5Tom SparrowTom SparrowDI22.5Kysaiah PickettKysaiah PickettDI22.5Max GawnMax GawnDI21.5Joel FitzgeraldJoel FitzgeraldDI20.5Christian SalemChristian SalemDI20.5Ed LangdonEd LangdonDI20.5Trent RiversTrent RiversDI20.5Koltyn TholstrupKoltyn TholstrupDI17.5Xavier LindsayXavier LindsayDI16.5Harvey LangfordHarvey LangfordDI16.5
Caleb SerongCaleb SerongDI25.5Andrew BrayshawAndrew BrayshawDI25.5Murphy ReidMurphy ReidDI23.5Shai BoltonShai BoltonDI23.5Jordan ClarkJordan Clark

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Jake BoweyJake Bowey25.5Jack SteeleJack Steele24.5Tom SparrowTom Sparrow22.5Kysaiah PickettKysaiah Pickett22.5Max GawnMax Gawn21.5Joel FitzgeraldJoel Fitzgerald20.5
DI
22.5
Luke RyanLuke RyanDI20.5
Karl WornerKarl WornerDI19.5
NONathan ODriscollDI18.5
Luke JacksonLuke JacksonDI18.5
Corey WagnerCorey WagnerDI17.5
Neil ErasmusNeil ErasmusDI17.5
Hayden YoungHayden YoungDI17.5
Christian Salem
Christian Salem
20.5
Ed LangdonEd Langdon20.5
Trent RiversTrent Rivers20.5
Koltyn TholstrupKoltyn Tholstrup17.5
Xavier LindsayXavier Lindsay16.5
Harvey LangfordHarvey Langford16.5
Caleb SerongCaleb Serong25.5
Andrew BrayshawAndrew Brayshaw25.5
Murphy ReidMurphy Reid23.5
Shai BoltonShai Bolton23.5
Jordan ClarkJordan Clark22.5
Luke RyanLuke Ryan20.5
Karl WornerKarl Worner19.5
NONathan ODriscoll18.5
Luke JacksonLuke Jackson18.5
Corey WagnerCorey Wagner17.5
Neil ErasmusNeil Erasmus17.5
Hayden YoungHayden Young17.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Tom Sparrow
Tom Sparrow
Melbourne · vs FRE
22.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
63% (12/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.7
L5
27.6
L10
25.5
High
33
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o22.5
6STKMar 1513FREMar 2129CARMar 2921GCSApr 0518ESSApr 1116BRIApr 1928RICApr 2421SYDMay 0324WCEMay 1027HAWMay 1623WBDMay 2419GWSMay 3124COLJun 0824ESSJun 1328ADEJun 2026HAWJul 0427RICJul 12☂33NORJul 1824GEEJul 24?FREAug 0822.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-08 13:15☁ 12.5°C☂ 0mm (31%)🌬 24.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Tomvs all playersStatFRE concedePer game
22.7
88
Disposalsunfavorable
0
342.7
Tom 22.7/game
FRE concedes 342.7/game · league avg 369.6
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
12.9
88
Kicksunfavorable
12
201.9
Tom 12.9/game
FRE concedes 201.9/game · league avg 213.9
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.8
25
Marksunfavorable
35
88.5
Tom 2.8/game
FRE concedes 88.5/game · league avg 93.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.2
99
Tacklesneutral
47
55.8
Tom 6.2/game
FRE concedes 55.8/game · league avg 56.5
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.7
97
Clearancesunfavorable
6
32.9
Tom 5.7/game
FRE concedes 32.9/game · league avg 35.7
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.8
96
Inside 50sunfavorable
0
48.2
Tom 4.8/game
FRE concedes 48.2/game · league avg 52.9
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
9.5
93
Contested Poss.unfavorable
18
123.7
Tom 9.5/game
FRE concedes 123.7/game · league avg 128.8
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.4
58
Goalsunfavorable
0
9.7
Tom 0.4/game
FRE concedes 9.7/game · league avg 12.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsunfavorable
Tom22.7
88
FRE342.7
0
Tom 22.7/game
FRE concedes 342.7/game · league avg 369.6
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksunfavorable
Tom12.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

FRE concede · Disposals

342.7per game · league avg 369.6
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.16.1(66)+0.8
Everywhere else15.3(65)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)15.8(10)+0.1
Dry games15.7(121)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs FRE · Disposals

Avg diff
+6.2
Avg diff %
+29%
Hit rate
8/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-24WCETim Kelly23.531+32%
07-24WCEHarley Reid24.130+25%
07-24WCETom McCarthy22.726+15%
07-24WCEMarcus Herbert21.236+70%
07-18POROllie Wines20.530+46%
07-18PORDarcy Byrne-Jones19.621+7%
07-18PORJase Burgoyne20.824+15%
07-09SYDTom McCartin19.423+18%
Similar = season average within ±3.4 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.
88
FRE201.9
12
Tom 12.9/game
FRE concedes 201.9/game · league avg 213.9
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksunfavorable
Tom2.8
25
FRE88.5
35
Tom 2.8/game
FRE concedes 88.5/game · league avg 93.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Tom6.2
99
FRE55.8
47
Tom 6.2/game
FRE concedes 55.8/game · league avg 56.5
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Tom5.7
97
FRE32.9
6
Tom 5.7/game
FRE concedes 32.9/game · league avg 35.7
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sunfavorable
Tom4.8
96
FRE48.2
0
Tom 4.8/game
FRE concedes 48.2/game · league avg 52.9
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Tom9.5
93
FRE123.7
18
Tom 9.5/game
FRE concedes 123.7/game · league avg 128.8
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsunfavorable
Tom0.4
58
FRE9.7
0
Tom 0.4/game
FRE concedes 9.7/game · league avg 12.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded