Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Taylor Walker

Adelaide · @ ESS

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

67% (8/12)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.8

L10

0.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Taylorvs all playersStatESS concedePer game

10.7Disposals398.8

7.6Kicks232.6

4.8Marks116.9

1.3Tackles50.5

0.1Clearances33.3

2.5Inside 50s55.1

3.8Contested Poss.121.4

1.6Goals15.0

Disposals

Taylor10.7

ESS398.8

Kicks

Taylor7.6

ESS232.6

Marks

Taylor4.8

ESS116.9

Tackles

Taylor1.3

ESS50.5

Clearances

Taylor0.1

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

Taylor2.5

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

Taylor3.8

ESS121.4

Goals

Taylor1.6

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.9(12)+0.2

Everywhere else0.7(134)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(10)+0.3

Dry games0.7(136)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.