Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Christian Salem

Melbourne · @ GCS

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (2/5)

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Avg

3.4

L10

3.4

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Christianvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

20.6Disposals359.7

16.2Kicks206.6

3.4Marks83.4

1.4Tackles64.7

0.6Clearances38.2

2.2Inside 50s52.9

5.6Contested Poss.128.1

0.2Goals13.2

Disposals

Christian20.6

GCS359.7

Kicks

Christian16.2

GCS206.6

Marks

Christian3.4

GCS83.4

Tackles

Christian1.4

GCS64.7

Clearances

Christian0.6

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Christian2.2

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Christian5.6

GCS128.1

Goals

Christian0.2

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Marks

83.4per game · league avg 93.0

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Carrara5.3(6)

Everywhere else5.3(128)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.6(10)-1.9

Dry games5.5(124)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.