Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

MEL

Harry Petty

Melbourne · @ GCS

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

36% (5/14)

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Avg

0.7

1.4

L10

1.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Harryvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

9.9Disposals359.7

5.9Kicks206.6

4.6Marks83.4

2.7Tackles64.7

0.2Clearances38.2

1.1Inside 50s52.9

4.6Contested Poss.128.1

0.7Goals13.2

Disposals

Harry9.9

GCS359.7

Kicks

Harry5.9

GCS206.6

Marks

Harry4.6

GCS83.4

Tackles

Harry2.7

GCS64.7

Clearances

Harry0.2

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Harry1.1

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Harry4.6

GCS128.1

Goals

Harry0.7

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Goals

13.2per game · league avg 12.7

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At Carrara1.3(3)+0.8

Everywhere else0.5(111)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.5

Dry games0.5(106)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.