P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Riley Thilthorpe
Riley Thilthorpe
Adelaide · @ ESS
5.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
53% (8/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.3
L5
6.0
L10
5.0
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7COLMar 146WBDMar 208GEEMar 263FREApr 036CARApr 097STKApr 184BRIApr 262PORMay 015RICMay 102HAWMay 217WBDJun 114MELJun 208PORJun 275GCSJul 116SYDJul 17?ESSAug 025.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Riley12.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Riley8.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Riley5.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Riley1.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Riley1.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Riley2.4
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Riley6.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Riley1.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands5.5(8)+1.1
Everywhere else4.4(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.1(10)-0.4
Dry games4.5(83)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.