P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Riley Thilthorpe
Riley Thilthorpe
Adelaide · @ ESS
8.5 KIO —U —
Hit rate
60% (9/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.5
L5
7.6
L10
7.7
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12COLMar 149WBDMar 2010GEEMar 2610FREApr 0310CARApr 0913STKApr 187BRIApr 265PORMay 017RICMay 107HAWMay 2110WBDJun 115MELJun 209PORJun 275GCSJul 119SYDJul 17?ESSAug 028.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Riley12.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Riley8.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Riley5.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Riley1.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Riley1.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Riley2.4
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Riley6.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Riley1.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands8.5(8)+0.9
Everywhere else7.6(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)8.5(10)+0.9
Dry games7.6(83)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.