P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Riley Thilthorpe
Riley Thilthorpe
Adelaide · @ ESS
4.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.3
L5
4.8
L10
4.5
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3COLMar 144WBDMar 204GEEMar 265FREApr 034CARApr 091STKApr 181BRIApr 265PORMay 015RICMay 109HAWMay 214WBDJun 114MELJun 204PORJun 2710GCSJul 112SYDJul 17?ESSAug 024.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Riley12.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Riley8.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Riley5.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Riley1.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Riley1.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Riley2.4
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Riley6.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Riley1.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands4.0(8)-0.2
Everywhere else4.2(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.7(10)-0.6
Dry games4.3(83)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.