P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Riley Thilthorpe
Riley Thilthorpe
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 GAO —U —
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.6
L10
0.7
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0COLMar 140WBDMar 201GEEMar 263FREApr 031CARApr 090STKApr 181BRIApr 260PORMay 011RICMay 102HAWMay 210WBDJun 110MELJun 200PORJun 273GCSJul 110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Riley12.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Riley8.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Riley5.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Riley1.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Riley1.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Riley2.4
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Riley6.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Riley1.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.4(8)-0.2
Everywhere else0.6(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(10)-0.2
Dry games0.6(83)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.