P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Riley Thilthorpe
Riley Thilthorpe
Adelaide · @ ESS
12.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
67% (10/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
12.9
L5
12.4
L10
12.2
High
16
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
15COLMar 1413WBDMar 2014GEEMar 2615FREApr 0314CARApr 0914STKApr 188BRIApr 2610PORMay 0112RICMay 1016HAWMay 2114WBDJun 119MELJun 2013PORJun 2715GCSJul 1111SYDJul 17?ESSAug 0212.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Riley12.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Riley8.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Riley5.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Riley1.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Riley1.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Riley2.4
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Riley6.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Riley1.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands12.5(8)+0.7
Everywhere else11.8(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)12.2(10)+0.4
Dry games11.8(83)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.