Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Bailey Laurie

Melbourne · @ GCS

5.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

36% (4/11)

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Avg

5.9

4.2

L10

6.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Baileyvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

12.7Disposals359.7

6.8Kicks206.6

2.5Marks83.4

2.3Tackles64.7

0.9Clearances38.2

2.7Inside 50s52.9

3.3Contested Poss.128.1

0.5Goals13.2

Disposals

Bailey12.7

GCS359.7

Kicks

Bailey6.8

GCS206.6

Marks

Bailey2.5

GCS83.4

Tackles

Bailey2.3

GCS64.7

Clearances

Bailey0.9

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Bailey2.7

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Bailey3.3

GCS128.1

Goals

Bailey0.5

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Handballs

153.2per game · league avg 155.5

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara—(0)

Everywhere else5.1(23)

Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(2)-0.7

Dry games5.2(21)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.