AFL
PProjectPunt
Bailey Laurie
Bailey Laurie
Melbourne · vs GEE
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
36% (4/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.9
L5
4.2
L10
6.0
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5GCSApr 054BRIApr 198RICApr 2412SYDMay 037WCEMay 108HAWMay 163WBDMay 244GWSMay 314ESSJun 135HAWJul 045RICJul 12?GEEJul 245.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs GEE
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Bailey12.7
GEE377.4
Kicks
Bailey6.8
GEE213.3
Marks
Bailey2.5
GEE82.7
Tackles
Bailey2.3
GEE64.5
Clearances
Bailey0.9
GEE38.8
Inside 50s
Bailey2.7
GEE51.0
Contested poss.
Bailey3.3
GEE133.8
Goals
Bailey0.5
GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Handballs

164.1per game · league avg 155.5
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.5.4(11)+0.1
Everywhere else5.3(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.0(1)-0.4
Dry games5.4(17)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.