Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Blake Howes

Melbourne · @ GCS

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.1

2.4

L10

2.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Blakevs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

15.4Disposals359.7

7.8Kicks206.6

5.0Marks83.4

2.1Tackles64.7

0.2Clearances38.2

1.1Inside 50s52.9

4.2Contested Poss.128.1

0.0Goals13.2

Disposals

Blake15.4

GCS359.7

Kicks

Blake7.8

GCS206.6

Marks

Blake5.0

GCS83.4

Tackles

Blake2.1

GCS64.7

Clearances

Blake0.2

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Blake1.1

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Blake4.2

GCS128.1

Goals

Blake0.0

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Tackles

64.7per game · league avg 56.9

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara1.0(2)-0.9

Everywhere else1.9(44)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(2)+0.7

Dry games1.8(44)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.