Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Bayley Fritsch

Melbourne · @ GCS

12.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

63% (10/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.9

14.2

L10

12.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (30%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Bayleyvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

12.9Disposals359.7

8.1Kicks206.6

3.8Marks83.4

2.1Tackles64.7

0.6Clearances38.2

2.2Inside 50s52.9

4.4Contested Poss.128.1

1.4Goals13.2

Disposals

Bayley12.9

GCS359.7

Kicks

Bayley8.1

GCS206.6

Marks

Bayley3.8

GCS83.4

Tackles

Bayley2.1

GCS64.7

Clearances

Bayley0.6

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Bayley2.2

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Bayley4.4

GCS128.1

Goals

Bayley1.4

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Disposals

359.7per game · league avg 369.3

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara10.1(8)-1.6

Everywhere else11.7(156)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)10.5(12)-1.2

Dry games11.7(152)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.