Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jake Bowey

Melbourne · @ GCS

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (4/10)

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Avg

2.3

2.6

L10

2.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

25.0Disposals359.7

18.2Kicks206.6

4.5Marks83.4

2.3Tackles64.7

1.4Clearances38.2

2.1Inside 50s52.9

4.9Contested Poss.128.1

0.1Goals13.2

Disposals

Jake25.0

GCS359.7

Kicks

Jake18.2

GCS206.6

Marks

Jake4.5

GCS83.4

Tackles

Jake2.3

GCS64.7

Clearances

Jake1.4

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Jake2.1

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Jake4.9

GCS128.1

Goals

Jake0.1

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Tackles

64.7per game · league avg 56.9

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara1.0(4)-0.9

Everywhere else1.9(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.9(8)

Dry games1.9(86)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.