Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jake Bowey

Melbourne · @ GCS

6.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

60% (6/10)

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Avg

6.8

6.6

L10

6.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

25.0Disposals359.7

18.2Kicks206.6

4.5Marks83.4

2.3Tackles64.7

1.4Clearances38.2

2.1Inside 50s52.9

4.9Contested Poss.128.1

0.1Goals13.2

Disposals

Jake25.0

GCS359.7

Kicks

Jake18.2

GCS206.6

Marks

Jake4.5

GCS83.4

Tackles

Jake2.3

GCS64.7

Clearances

Jake1.4

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Jake2.1

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Jake4.9

GCS128.1

Goals

Jake0.1

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Handballs

153.2per game · league avg 155.5

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara7.3(4)+1.3

Everywhere else6.0(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.5(8)+0.5

Dry games6.0(86)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.