Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Nick Watson

Hawthorn · vs NOR

8.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

25% (4/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

8.1

7.2

L10

7.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

13.4Disposals340.7

8.1Kicks197.6

2.3Marks90.7

2.3Tackles54.6

1.2Clearances33.9

2.6Inside 50s52.3

6.6Contested Poss.119.2

2.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Nick13.4

NOR340.7

Kicks

Nick8.1

NOR197.6

Marks

Nick2.3

NOR90.7

Tackles

Nick2.3

NOR54.6

Clearances

Nick1.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Nick2.6

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Nick6.6

NOR119.2

Goals

Nick2.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Kicks

197.6per game · league avg 213.8

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At York Park7.4(9)+0.9

Everywhere else6.5(50)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)8.4(7)+2.0

Dry games6.4(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.