AFL
PProjectPunt
Nick Watson
Nick Watson
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 GLO U
Hit rate
56% (9/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.8
L5
3.2
L10
2.8
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 074ESSMar 131SYDMar 193GEEApr 061WBDApr 115PORApr 182GCSApr 252COLApr 303FREMay 073MELMay 162ADEMay 212STKMay 283WBDJun 053GCSJun 193GWSJun 265RICJul 19?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick13.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Nick8.1
ESS232.6
Marks
Nick2.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Nick2.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Nick1.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Nick2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Nick6.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Nick2.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.2.1(27)+0.5
Everywhere else1.5(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.1(7)+0.4
Dry games1.7(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.