AFL
PProjectPunt
Josh Ward
Josh Ward
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.5
L5
4.2
L10
3.4
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 075ESSMar 134SYDMar 196GEEApr 061WBDApr 112PORApr 183GCSApr 256COLApr 304FREMay 071MELMay 163ADEMay 212STKMay 283WBDJun 053GCSJun 193GWSJun 264MELJul 047CARJul 114RICJul 19?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh10.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh3.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh3.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh3.7
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Josh7.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.3.7(25)+0.7
Everywhere else2.9(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.1(8)+2.2
Dry games3.0(47)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.