Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Josh Ward

Hawthorn · vs NOR

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

3.9

3.4

L10

4.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joshvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

22.2Disposals340.7

10.6Kicks197.6

3.9Marks90.7

3.5Tackles54.6

3.5Clearances33.9

3.7Inside 50s52.3

7.5Contested Poss.119.2

0.2Goals13.4

Disposals

Josh22.2

NOR340.7

Kicks

Josh10.6

NOR197.6

Marks

Josh3.9

NOR90.7

Tackles

Josh3.5

NOR54.6

Clearances

Josh3.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Josh3.7

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Josh7.5

NOR119.2

Goals

Josh0.2

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Marks

90.7per game · league avg 93.0

#9 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Marks

At York Park3.8(13)-0.1

Everywhere else3.9(72)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(10)-0.1

Dry games3.9(75)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.