Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Josh Ward

Hawthorn · vs NOR

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

11% (2/18)

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Avg

0.2

0.6

L10

0.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joshvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

22.2Disposals340.7

10.6Kicks197.6

3.9Marks90.7

3.5Tackles54.6

3.5Clearances33.9

3.7Inside 50s52.3

7.5Contested Poss.119.2

0.2Goals13.4

Disposals

Josh22.2

NOR340.7

Kicks

Josh10.6

NOR197.6

Marks

Josh3.9

NOR90.7

Tackles

Josh3.5

NOR54.6

Clearances

Josh3.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Josh3.7

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Josh7.5

NOR119.2

Goals

Josh0.2

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Goals

13.4per game · league avg 12.7

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At York Park0.2(13)+0.1

Everywhere else0.1(72)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.2(10)+0.1

Dry games0.1(75)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.