AFL
PProjectPunt
Josh Ward
Josh Ward
Hawthorn · vs ESS
22.5 DIO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.2
L5
22.2
L10
23.1
High
29
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
18GWSMar 0726ESSMar 1327SYDMar 1929GEEApr 0614WBDApr 1114PORApr 1820GCSApr 2521COLApr 3021FREMay 0724MELMay 1624ADEMay 2122STKMay 2829WBDJun 0527GCSJun 1916GWSJun 2625MELJul 0423CARJul 1120RICJul 19?ESSJul 2522.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.5°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 11.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh10.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh3.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh3.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh3.7
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Josh7.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.21.2(25)+2.4
Everywhere else18.8(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)20.8(8)+1.0
Dry games19.7(47)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.