Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

James Sicily

Hawthorn · vs NOR

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

18% (3/17)

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Avg

1.2

1.0

L10

0.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamesvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

21.5Disposals340.7

14.0Kicks197.6

7.3Marks90.7

2.0Tackles54.6

0.4Clearances33.9

2.2Inside 50s52.3

6.8Contested Poss.119.2

0.1Goals13.4

Disposals

James21.5

NOR340.7

Kicks

James14.0

NOR197.6

Marks

James7.3

NOR90.7

Tackles

James2.0

NOR54.6

Clearances

James0.4

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

James2.2

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

James6.8

NOR119.2

Goals

James0.1

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park1.5(19)+0.3

Everywhere else1.2(117)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(17)+0.2

Dry games1.2(119)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.