AFL
PProjectPunt
James Sicily
James Sicily
Hawthorn · vs ESS
21.5 DIO U
Hit rate
65% (11/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
21.5
L5
19.8
L10
21.0
High
33
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
23GWSMar 0726ESSMar 1323SYDMar 1920GEEApr 0624WBDApr 1117PORApr 1822COLApr 3022FREMay 0723MELMay 1611ADEMay 2133STKMay 2822WBDJun 0517GCSJun 1922GWSJun 2619MELJul 0415CARJul 1126RICJul 19?ESSJul 2521.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.5°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 11.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
James21.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
James14.0
ESS232.6
Marks
James7.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
James2.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
James0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
James2.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
James6.8
ESS121.4
Goals
James0.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.21.7(30)+1.8
Everywhere else19.9(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)20.8(8)
Dry games20.8(54)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.