Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jack Scrimshaw

Hawthorn · vs NOR

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (3/6)

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Avg

1.5

1.8

L10

1.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

17.3Disposals340.7

8.7Kicks197.6

4.7Marks90.7

1.5Tackles54.6

0.3Clearances33.9

0.3Inside 50s52.3

5.8Contested Poss.119.2

0.0Goals13.4

Disposals

Jack17.3

NOR340.7

Kicks

Jack8.7

NOR197.6

Marks

Jack4.7

NOR90.7

Tackles

Jack1.5

NOR54.6

Clearances

Jack0.3

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Jack0.3

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Jack5.8

NOR119.2

Goals

Jack0.0

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park1.9(20)+0.3

Everywhere else1.6(105)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.2(12)-0.5

Dry games1.7(113)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.