AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Reeves
Ned Reeves
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 MKO U
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.4
L10
0.7
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3ESSMar 130SYDMar 191GEEApr 060WBDApr 111PORApr 180GCSApr 254COLApr 300FREMay 070MELMay 160ADEMay 210STKMay 282WBDJun 050GCSJun 190GWSJun 26?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned7.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ned4.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Ned0.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ned2.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ned2.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ned1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Ned4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Ned0.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.1.5(10)+1.2
Everywhere else0.3(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games0.9(19)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.