AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Reeves
Ned Reeves
Hawthorn · vs ESS
4.5 KIO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.3
L5
4.6
L10
4.6
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5ESSMar 132SYDMar 195GEEApr 062WBDApr 117PORApr 182GCSApr 259COLApr 305FREMay 070MELMay 169ADEMay 211STKMay 286WBDJun 053GCSJun 194GWSJun 26?ESSJul 254.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned7.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ned4.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Ned0.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ned2.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ned2.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ned1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Ned4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Ned0.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.4.3(10)+0.5
Everywhere else3.8(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games4.1(19)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.