Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Ned Reeves

Hawthorn · vs NOR

3.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

36% (5/14)

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Avg

3.2

2.0

L10

2.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nedvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

7.5Disposals340.7

4.3Kicks197.6

0.8Marks90.7

2.5Tackles54.6

2.9Clearances33.9

1.2Inside 50s52.3

4.9Contested Poss.119.2

0.4Goals13.4

Disposals

Ned7.5

NOR340.7

Kicks

Ned4.3

NOR197.6

Marks

Ned0.8

NOR90.7

Tackles

Ned2.5

NOR54.6

Clearances

Ned2.9

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Ned1.2

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Ned4.9

NOR119.2

Goals

Ned0.4

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

143.1per game · league avg 155.5

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At York Park3.6(8)-0.5

Everywhere else4.1(49)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)2.8(5)-1.4

Dry games4.2(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.