AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Reeves
Ned Reeves
Hawthorn · vs ESS
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.4
L5
2.0
L10
1.7
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2ESSMar 130SYDMar 190GEEApr 060WBDApr 111PORApr 180GCSApr 255COLApr 300FREMay 071MELMay 164ADEMay 212STKMay 281WBDJun 050GCSJun 193GWSJun 26?ESSJul 251.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned7.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ned4.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Ned0.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ned2.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ned2.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ned1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Ned4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Ned0.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.1.5(10)+0.6
Everywhere else0.9(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games1.2(19)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.