AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
11.5 KIO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.8
L5
11.0
L10
11.1
High
17
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
16GWSMar 0711ESSMar 1315SYDMar 1911GEEApr 0611WBDApr 1111PORApr 1811GCSApr 2516COLApr 3014FREMay 078MELMay 169ADEMay 218STKMay 2817WBDJun 0513GCSJun 1912GWSJun 2613MELJul 047CARJul 1110RICJul 19?ESSJul 2511.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.11.1(30)+0.7
Everywhere else10.4(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)11.4(8)+0.7
Dry games10.6(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.