AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
14.5 HBO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.1
L5
14.2
L10
14.4
High
19
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9GWSMar 0711ESSMar 1316SYDMar 1914GEEApr 0617WBDApr 1113PORApr 1819GCSApr 2511COLApr 3012FREMay 0716MELMay 169ADEMay 2117STKMay 2819WBDJun 0518GCSJun 1919GWSJun 2614MELJul 0411CARJul 119RICJul 19?ESSJul 2514.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.13.4(30)-0.4
Everywhere else13.8(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.3(8)-0.5
Dry games13.7(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.