AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.7
L5
1.0
L10
0.8
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GWSMar 070ESSMar 131SYDMar 191GEEApr 060WBDApr 111PORApr 182GCSApr 250COLApr 301FREMay 070MELMay 160ADEMay 211STKMay 281WBDJun 052GCSJun 190GWSJun 261MELJul 041CARJul 111RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.5(30)-0.2
Everywhere else0.7(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(8)-0.2
Dry games0.7(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.