AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 FFO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.3
L5
2.0
L10
1.9
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 071ESSMar 133SYDMar 192GEEApr 063WBDApr 113PORApr 184GCSApr 254COLApr 301FREMay 071MELMay 163ADEMay 210STKMay 284WBDJun 055GCSJun 194GWSJun 261MELJul 040CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.1.9(30)+0.3
Everywhere else1.6(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(8)-0.6
Dry games1.8(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.