AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
25.5 DIO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
25.9
L5
25.2
L10
25.5
High
36
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
25GWSMar 0722ESSMar 1331SYDMar 1925GEEApr 0628WBDApr 1124PORApr 1830GCSApr 2527COLApr 3026FREMay 0724MELMay 1618ADEMay 2125STKMay 2836WBDJun 0531GCSJun 1931GWSJun 2627MELJul 0418CARJul 1119RICJul 19?ESSJul 2525.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.5°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 11.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.24.5(30)+0.3
Everywhere else24.3(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)24.6(8)+0.3
Dry games24.3(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.