AFL
PProjectPunt
Conor Nash
Conor Nash
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.1
L5
1.2
L10
2.1
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 075ESSMar 132SYDMar 192GEEApr 064WBDApr 110PORApr 182GCSApr 251COLApr 302FREMay 071ADEMay 21?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Conor19.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Conor8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Conor2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Conor5.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Conor5.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Conor2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Conor10.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Conor0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.3.3(23)+1.8
Everywhere else1.5(34)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(7)-0.8
Dry games2.3(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.