Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Conor Nash

Hawthorn · vs NOR

8.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

40% (4/10)

enter odds to compare

Avg

8.0

8.6

L10

8.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Conorvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

19.1Disposals340.7

8.0Kicks197.6

2.1Marks90.7

5.3Tackles54.6

5.5Clearances33.9

2.0Inside 50s52.3

10.2Contested Poss.119.2

0.2Goals13.4

Disposals

Conor19.1

NOR340.7

Kicks

Conor8.0

NOR197.6

Marks

Conor2.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Conor5.3

NOR54.6

Clearances

Conor5.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Conor2.0

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Conor10.2

NOR119.2

Goals

Conor0.2

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Kicks

197.6per game · league avg 213.8

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At York Park9.3(23)+1.7

Everywhere else7.6(101)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)8.3(15)+0.4

Dry games7.8(109)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.