Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Conor Nash

Hawthorn · vs NOR

11.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

40% (4/10)

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Avg

11.1

10.8

L10

11.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Conorvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

19.1Disposals340.7

8.0Kicks197.6

2.1Marks90.7

5.3Tackles54.6

5.5Clearances33.9

2.0Inside 50s52.3

10.2Contested Poss.119.2

0.2Goals13.4

Disposals

Conor19.1

NOR340.7

Kicks

Conor8.0

NOR197.6

Marks

Conor2.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Conor5.3

NOR54.6

Clearances

Conor5.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Conor2.0

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Conor10.2

NOR119.2

Goals

Conor0.2

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

143.1per game · league avg 155.5

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At York Park9.0(23)-1.0

Everywhere else10.0(101)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.9(15)-2.2

Dry games10.1(109)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.