AFL
PProjectPunt
Conor Nash
Conor Nash
Hawthorn · vs ESS
11.5 HBO U
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.1
L5
10.8
L10
11.1
High
17
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9GWSMar 0717ESSMar 1313SYDMar 197GEEApr 0611WBDApr 1110PORApr 1814GCSApr 2510COLApr 3014FREMay 076ADEMay 21?ESSJul 2511.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Conor19.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Conor8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Conor2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Conor5.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Conor5.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Conor2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Conor10.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Conor0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.10.9(23)+1.1
Everywhere else9.8(34)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.3(7)+0.1
Dry games10.2(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.