AFL
PProjectPunt
Conor Nash
Conor Nash
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.4
L10
0.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GWSMar 071ESSMar 131SYDMar 190GEEApr 060WBDApr 112PORApr 180GCSApr 250COLApr 300FREMay 070ADEMay 21?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Conor19.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Conor8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Conor2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Conor5.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Conor5.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Conor2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Conor10.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Conor0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.3(23)-0.2
Everywhere else0.5(34)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(7)-0.3
Dry games0.5(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.