AFL
PProjectPunt
Conor Nash
Conor Nash
Hawthorn · vs ESS
19.5 DIO U
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
19.1
L5
19.4
L10
19.1
High
23
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
17GWSMar 0723ESSMar 1319SYDMar 1917GEEApr 0618WBDApr 1120PORApr 1821GCSApr 2522COLApr 3019FREMay 0715ADEMay 21?ESSJul 2519.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.5°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 11.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Conor19.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Conor8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Conor2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Conor5.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Conor5.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Conor2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Conor10.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Conor0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.19.7(23)+1.5
Everywhere else18.1(34)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)19.0(7)+0.3
Dry games18.7(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.