Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jake Soligo

Adelaide · @ ESS

2.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (8/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.7

2.4

L10

2.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatESS concedePer game

16.6Disposals398.8

9.3Kicks232.6

2.7Marks116.9

4.1Tackles50.5

2.1Clearances33.3

2.5Inside 50s55.1

6.5Contested Poss.121.4

0.6Goals15.0

Disposals

Jake16.6

ESS398.8

Kicks

Jake9.3

ESS232.6

Marks

Jake2.7

ESS116.9

Tackles

Jake4.1

ESS50.5

Clearances

Jake2.1

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

Jake2.5

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

Jake6.5

ESS121.4

Goals

Jake0.6

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands2.7(7)

Everywhere else2.8(94)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(11)+0.3

Dry games2.7(90)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.