Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Lloyd Meek

Hawthorn · vs NOR

3.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.5

4.6

L10

3.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lloydvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

11.7Disposals340.7

4.8Kicks197.6

2.1Marks90.7

3.5Tackles54.6

3.4Clearances33.9

1.4Inside 50s52.3

7.3Contested Poss.119.2

0.2Goals13.4

Disposals

Lloyd11.7

NOR340.7

Kicks

Lloyd4.8

NOR197.6

Marks

Lloyd2.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Lloyd3.5

NOR54.6

Clearances

Lloyd3.4

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Lloyd1.4

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Lloyd7.3

NOR119.2

Goals

Lloyd0.2

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park3.8(12)

Everywhere else3.7(68)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(8)

Dry games3.7(72)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.