AFL
PProjectPunt
Lloyd Meek
Lloyd Meek
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.5
L5
4.6
L10
3.7
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 072ESSMar 133SYDMar 194GEEApr 065WBDApr 112PORApr 185GCSApr 252COLApr 302FREMay 072MELMay 163ADEMay 214STKMay 283WBDJun 052GCSJun 192GWSJun 262MELJul 0410CARJul 117RICJul 19?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lloyd11.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Lloyd4.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Lloyd2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Lloyd3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Lloyd3.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Lloyd1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Lloyd7.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Lloyd0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.3.2(27)-0.9
Everywhere else4.1(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(8)
Dry games3.7(56)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.