AFL
PProjectPunt
Lloyd Meek
Lloyd Meek
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 GLO U
Hit rate
17% (3/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.2
L5
0.0
L10
0.1
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GWSMar 070ESSMar 130SYDMar 190GEEApr 061WBDApr 110PORApr 180GCSApr 250COLApr 300FREMay 070MELMay 161ADEMay 210STKMay 280WBDJun 050GCSJun 190GWSJun 260MELJul 040CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lloyd11.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Lloyd4.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Lloyd2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Lloyd3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Lloyd3.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Lloyd1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Lloyd7.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Lloyd0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.0.3(27)-0.1
Everywhere else0.4(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(8)-0.1
Dry games0.3(56)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.