Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

HAW

Cam Mackenzie

Hawthorn · vs NOR

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

4.1

4.4

L10

4.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Camvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

20.4Disposals340.7

10.4Kicks197.6

2.3Marks90.7

4.1Tackles54.6

3.5Clearances33.9

3.3Inside 50s52.3

7.1Contested Poss.119.2

0.1Goals13.4

Disposals

Cam20.4

NOR340.7

Kicks

Cam10.4

NOR197.6

Marks

Cam2.3

NOR90.7

Tackles

Cam4.1

NOR54.6

Clearances

Cam3.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Cam3.3

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Cam7.1

NOR119.2

Goals

Cam0.1

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park4.3(12)+1.2

Everywhere else3.0(50)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(4)+0.5

Dry games3.2(58)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.