Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

HAW

Cam Mackenzie

Hawthorn · vs NOR

10.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

10.0

9.6

L10

10.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Camvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

20.4Disposals340.7

10.4Kicks197.6

2.3Marks90.7

4.1Tackles54.6

3.5Clearances33.9

3.3Inside 50s52.3

7.1Contested Poss.119.2

0.1Goals13.4

Disposals

Cam20.4

NOR340.7

Kicks

Cam10.4

NOR197.6

Marks

Cam2.3

NOR90.7

Tackles

Cam4.1

NOR54.6

Clearances

Cam3.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Cam3.3

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Cam7.1

NOR119.2

Goals

Cam0.1

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

143.1per game · league avg 155.5

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At York Park9.8(12)+2.3

Everywhere else7.6(50)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.3(4)-2.9

Dry games8.2(58)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.