AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Cam Mackenzie
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 GLO U
Hit rate
13% (2/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.1
L5
0.2
L10
0.1
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0ESSMar 131SYDMar 190WBDApr 110PORApr 180GCSApr 250COLApr 300FREMay 070MELMay 160ADEMay 210STKMay 280WBDJun 050GCSJun 191GWSJun 260MELJul 040CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Cam20.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Cam10.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Cam2.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Cam4.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Cam3.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Cam3.3
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Cam7.1
ESS121.4
Goals
Cam0.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.0.3(20)+0.2
Everywhere else0.1(28)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(4)+0.3
Dry games0.2(44)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.