Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Connor Macdonald

Hawthorn · vs NOR

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

4.6

5.0

L10

4.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Connorvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

22.0Disposals340.7

12.7Kicks197.6

4.6Marks90.7

3.2Tackles54.6

2.2Clearances33.9

4.8Inside 50s52.3

7.4Contested Poss.119.2

0.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Connor22.0

NOR340.7

Kicks

Connor12.7

NOR197.6

Marks

Connor4.6

NOR90.7

Tackles

Connor3.2

NOR54.6

Clearances

Connor2.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Connor4.8

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Connor7.4

NOR119.2

Goals

Connor0.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Marks

90.7per game · league avg 93.0

#9 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Marks

At York Park3.2(17)-1.4

Everywhere else4.5(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(13)-0.6

Dry games4.4(94)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.